![Some of the victorious Sinn Féin local election team at the count centre on Saturday with party leader and local TD Gerry Adams. If last Friday's poll results repeated themselves in a General Election, Sinn Féin would take two seats in the constituency](https://talkofdatown.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/large10.jpeg?w=645)
Some of the victorious Sinn Féin local election team at the count centre on Saturday with party leader and local TD Gerry Adams. If last Friday’s poll results repeated themselves in a General Election, Sinn Féin would take two seats in the constituency
Fine Gael and the Labour Party would both have lost seats in Louth had the results from last week’s local elections been in a General Election.
Sinn Féin, meanwhile, would have been the big winners by claiming two seats.
Today’s Irish Times carried out an analysis of the local election results and put them into the context of a General Election. The work was carried out by political analyst Odran Flynn.
Mr Flynn said: “Yes it was a local election and the General Election wil be contested by a vastly different array of candidates, including ministers and TDs from all parties. However, as was the case in 1991 and 2009, the warning signs were apparent and they effectively predicted the result of the following Dáil election.”
The Times found that had the results from last Friday’s poll been in a General Election then just six Labour candidates would have been re-elected.
In Louth just one Fine Gael candidate would have survived, while Fianna Fáil would retain its solitary seat in the county.
Labour would have lost their representation here with Sinn Féin picking up their seat, while the remaining fifth seat would have went to someone in the ‘Other’ category – most likely an independent.
While all hypothetical, the results are interesting and will no doubt strengthen Sinn Féin’s resolve to run a second candidate in Louth for the first time at the next election.
Drogheda-based councillor Imelda Munster – who topped the poll in her area – has already been mentioned as a possible running mate for Gerry Adams in the next General Election.
Incidentally, the break down of the next Dáil would have been as follows if they reflected the local election results:
- Fianna Fáil 46
- Fine Gael 42
- Sinn Féin 27
- Labour 6
- Others 37